SSP will be busy tonight, with hot primaries in four states:
- GA-Sen (D runoff)
- KS-02 (R)
- MI-13 (D)
- MO-Gov (R)
- MO-09 (D & R)
Crisitunity gave us a thorough look at all of these races on Friday.
In the comments, feel free to post your predictions for these races. Whoever posts the closest numbers gets free bragging rights until the TN-09 primary on Thursday.
black turnout falls in the runoff, white turnout goes up, Martin wins 57-43.
Ryun wins 58-42.
Carolyn Kilpatrick wins reelection with 37% of the vote, though I’m not very familiar with this race.
MO-GOV, I don’t know about minor candidates, but I predict a 52-45 victory for Hulshof, taking into account minor candidates.
MO-09. Judy Baker wins with 33%, followed by Steve Gaw at 31% and Jacobs at 26%. No runoffs here right, then Bob Onder should win the Republican Primary. Don’t have any percentages. Let’s see if I get bragging rights.
Martin, Ryun, Kilpatrick, Hulshof, Baker, Onder.
OK,
GA-Sen: Martin 54 – 46 Jones
KS-02: Jenkins 56 – 44 Ryun
MI-13: Waters 38 – Scott 36 – Kilpatrick 26
MO-Gov: Hulshof 58 – 42 Steelman
MO-09 (D): Baker 42 – 58 split btwn the Field
MO-09 (R): Luetkemeyer 36 – Rest split btwn Field
For some reason, I predict most of them to be pretty close… we’ll see
Basically, should I be rooting for her, or her challengers? I don’t think it’s such a crime to support your son, even if he is a corrupt little shit that could hurt our presidential candidate in Michigan. But is that the only reason she’s being primaried?
Predictions
GA: Marin 55%, Bush Jr. 45%
KS-2: Ryun 54%, Jenkins 46%
MO: Hulshof 60%, Steelman 40% (of the two-person vote)
MO-9: Baker 38%, Gaw 33%, others take the rest
the current chairperson of the Congressional Black Caucus, is definitely progressive; and she would be sorely missed if she loses. I don’t think that she will, though, because Mary Waters and Martha Scott will split the anti-Kilpatrick vote and cancel each other out. Incidentally, Kwame Kilpatrick may be the biggest tragedy to hit southeast Michigan in my lifetime. That a man with so much ability and promise for Detroit should self-destruct so utterly gives me nothing but sadness.
GA-Sen: Martin 57 – 43 Jones – Staunch Bush supporters don’t win democratic primaries.
KS-02: Ryun 56 – 44 Jenkins – Hard-liners hold on.
MI-13: Waters 43 – Kilpatrick 36 – Scott 20 – Kilpatrick had to show some tough love.
MO-Gov: Hulshof 54 – 46 Steelman The establishment pulls through.
MO-09 (D): Gaw 38 – Baker 36 rest split btwn the Field (this is my upset special, i might be completely wrong)
MO-09 (R): Onder 43 – Luetkemeyer 38 Rest split btwn Field
GA-Sen: Martin. But since there’s only two candidates the results will probably look like 50.5% to 49.5%.
KS-02: From the looks of things, Ryun will probably cross the finish line (get it? He used to run track? Haha.) And then he’ll get crushed by Nancy Boyda because all of Jenkins’ supporters will flock to her.
MI-13: I’m hoping for a pleasantly surprising upset by the other two candidates NOT named “Cheeks”. It would be so nice to stick it up to Kwame for being such an arrogant jerk. There shouldn’t be any risk because MI-13 is a safe Democratic seat.
MO-Gov and MO-09 (D and R): I absolutely have no idea. I haven’t been paying much attention to Missouri lately.
With 1% in Kilpatrick is in last place.
Mary Waters, 689, 45%
Martha Scott, 556, 36%
Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick, 299, 19%
From the Detroit News.